Frank Sawyer

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 5/3:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday was with the Vegas Golden Knights with the money-line versus the Dallas Stars. Vegas (47-31-9) has been outplayed in this series when looking at the deeper analytics — but all three of their losses have been by only one goal. This is a veteran team with tons of playoff experience — and the last time they lost four games in a row in the postseason was in the Stanley Cup Finals in 2018 against Washington. The Golden Knights have won 5 of their last 8 games after losing three or more games in a row. They have also won 21 of their last 30 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Dallas (55-23-9) has won 15 of their last 19 games after their 3-2 victory at home on Wednesday — but they have lost 28 of their last 44 games after winning 15 or more of their last 20 games. The Stars go back on the road where they have lost 29 of their last 51 road games with the Total set at 5.5. Take Vegas with the money-line. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 21 of 32 (66%) NBA run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after settling for a 1-1 split on Thursday — CA$HING Indiana but losing the NY-Philly under! Frank is on a 32 of 49 (65%) All-Sports run with featured plays — and he enjoys a long-running 89 of 141 (63%) NBA featured play run! Now Frank furthers his 48 of 66 (73%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with his 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year for the LA Clippers-Dallas O/U winner on ESPN at 9:40 PM ET!

Frank also furthers his 15 of 24 (63%) Game of the Year/Month mark in All-Sports with his 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Total of the Year for the Dallas-Vegas O/U winner on TNT at 10:10 PM ET! DON’T MISS OUT!

At 10:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (55-23-9) has won three straight games in this series after their 3-2 victory at home against the Golden Knights on Wednesday. Vegas (47-31-9) looks to avoid elimination tonight trailing 3-2 in this series after winning Games One and Two.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights scoring attack has been stymied by the stout Stars defense. They have scored two goals in each of their last three games. Six of their 13 goals have been on the Power Play — there seven goals at even strength five-on-five are the second fewest in the postseason. Vegas is simply finding it difficult to find open spaces to then generate good shots on the Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger. The deeper metrics are ugly. The Golden Knights rank 15th of the 16 playoff teams in expected Goals-For (xGF). They are averaging only 6.6 High Danger Chances per game. They are only converting on 6.2% of their shot attempts. The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. They have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after losing on the road by just one goal in their last game. They return home to T-Mobile Arena where they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Under the Total following a game on the road. Vegas did get a good game from Adin Hill between the pipes — he stopped 22 of the 25 shots he faced on Wednesday. He replaced Logan Thompson who was playing fine in this series — especially in Game Three where he almost stole the game single-handedly for the Golden Knights. Head coach Bruce Cassidy commented that he made the change to Hill because of his experience in high-pressure playoff games from the previous Stanley Cup title last year when he was their goaltender. In his 17 career games (15 starts) in the playoffs, Hill has a 2.22 Goals-Against-Average and a .930 save percentage. Dallas has only three goals in each of their three straight victories -- and they have then played 12 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after scoring three or more goals in two or more games in a row. They have won 15 of their last 19 games — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning 15 or more games in their last 20 games. Goalie Jake Oettinger has been outstanding in this series. He stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced on Wednesday. For the series, he has a 2.31 GAA and a .911 save percentage — and he has been at his best after giving up four goals on 15 shots in Game One. In his last three games, Oettinger has stopped 112 of the 120 shots he has faced for a .933 save percentage. He has also been great in clutch time in this series — he has stopped all 56 shots he has faced in the third period and overtime.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 3 of their last 4 playoff games Under the Total in potential close-out games. Vegas has played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 60-70% range. 25* NHL 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (3) and the Vegas Golden Knights (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Clippers (527) plus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks (528) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (53-34) has lost six of their last eight games after their 123-93 loss at home to the Mavericks on Wednesday. Dallas (53-34) has a 3-2 series lead with the chance to close out the series tonight.

REASONS TO TAKE THE CLIPPERS PLUS THE POINTS: The Clippers allowed the Mavericks to make 54.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 16 contests. They miss Kawhi Leonard who remains an outstanding defender — but head coach Ty Lue will demand a better effort from his players on that end of the court. They should shoot better than 37.9% of their shots which was the worst shooting effort in their last three games in this series. Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 23 of their last 36 games when trailing in the playoff series. Dallas enjoyed their best shooting effort in their last nine games by nailing 54.0% of their shots. And they played their best game on the other end of the court in their last three games by holding the Clippers to a 37.9% field goal percentage. The Mavericks were red-hot down the stretch by winning 16 of 18 games before tanking the final two regular season games since their spot as the fifth seed in the Western Conference playoffs was clinched. But only one of their 16 victories during that stretch was against a top-six seed in either conference — and that upset win at home against Denver required a miracle buzzer-beating shot from Kyrie Irving to steal that game. Dallas is below .500 with a 25-28 straight-up record against teams with a winning percentage of .500 or better.

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games when avenging a loss of 30 or more points. 8* NBA Friday Late Show Bailout with the Los Angeles Clippers (527) plus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (527) and the Dallas Mavericks (528) in Game Six of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (53-34) has lost six of their last eight games after their 123-93 loss at home to the Mavericks on Wednesday. Dallas (53-34) has a 3-2 series lead with the chance to close out the series tonight. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Clippers allowed the Mavericks to make 54.0% of their shots which was the worst defensive effort in their last 16 contests. They miss Kawhi Leonard who remains an outstanding defender — but head coach Ty Lue will demand a better effort from his players on that end of the court. Leonard will miss tonight’s game as well as he, as always, manages his knee problem — and the Clippers also miss his scoring. Los Angeles has not scored more than 93 points in three of the last four games in this series. The Clippers have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a loss by 10 or more points — and they have played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after a loss by 15 or more points. They have also played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games — and they have played 4 straight Unders after losing six or seven of their last eight games. They have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing for the second time in five days. And in their last 13 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Los Angeles has played 8 of these games Under the Total. Dallas enjoyed their best shooting effort in their last nine games by nailing 54.0% of their shots. The Mavs should continue to be tough to score on in this series. The additions of Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington at the trade deadline transformed the defensive makeup of this team. Since February 5th, they ranked third in the NBA in opponent’s effective field goal percentage after previously ranking 26th in the league. And in their last 15 games in the regular season, they led the NBA by holding their opponents to 106.1 points per 100 adjusted possessions. Dallas has played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a win on the road by 10 or more points. They have also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a win by 15 or more points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by 30 or more points. Furthermore, the Mavericks have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 105 points in their last game — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games at home Under the Total after not allowing more than 95 points in their last game. 

FINAL TAKE: The Clippers have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on their home court — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when on the road playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NBA 1st Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (527) and the Dallas Mavericks (528). Best of luck for us — Frank.

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 5/3:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday afternoon was with the Chicago Cubs with the money-line versus the Milwaukee Brewers listing both starting pitchers Hayden Wesneski and Joe Ross. Chicago (19-12) has won two of their last three games after their 1-0 victory on the road in New York against the Mets on Wednesday. The Cubs return home where they have won 10 of their 13 games this season. They have also won 8 of their last 11 games when priced as a money-line favorite of -110 or higher. Milwaukee (19-11) followed up an 8-2 victory against Tampa Bay on Tuesday with a 7-1 win against the Rays on Wednesday. The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 6 games after winning two games in a row by six or more runs. After playing six straight games against American League East teams, they finally play an National League Central opponent — but they have lost 7 of their last 11 games after playing six or more Interleague games in a row. Take the Chicago Cubs with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 20 of 30 (67%) NBA run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after DELIVERING their 25* NBA 1st Round Western Conference Playoff Game of the Year on Dallas last night! Frank is on a 30 of 46 (65%) All-Sports run with featured plays — and he enjoys a long-running 88 of 139 (63%) NBA featured play run! Now Frank furthers his 48 of 65 (74%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays and his 11 of 17 (65%) NBA Game of the Year/Month mark with his 25* NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Year for the New York-Philadelphia O/U winner on TNT at 9:10 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!