Big Al McMordie

At 9:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  I played on the Suns in Game 3, and they were blown out by double-digits for the 3rd straight game, 126-109.  I'll take Phoenix in this Game 4, as it has gone 121-87-5 ATS off back to back losses, when it's owned a winning record.  Additionally, .500 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% over the last 17 seasons after three straight double-digit losses, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  It's true that NBA teams down 3-games-to-none have never come back to win a 7-game playoff series.  But Home Underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, and down 3-games-to-none have been profitable since 1991 in Game 4.  And home teams off 3 SU/ATS losses to start a series have gone 22-14-2 ATS in Game 4.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Los Angeles Clippers/Dallas Mavericks game.  We cashed our NBA Total of the Month Friday on the Under in Game 3 between these teams, and we'll come right back with the Under in this Game 4.  All three games in this series have been low-scoring.  Game 1 went under by 14.5 points; Game 2 went under by 27 points; and Game 3 went under by 23 points.  I will ride the wave of unders, and look for another low-scoring game.  Additionally, Dallas has now gone under in 16 of its last 20 home games, and nine of its last 11 home playoff games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.